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71.
用线性分配法评价重庆主城区排水系统方案 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
根据综合评价的目的及要求,建立了重庆主城区排水系统方案的评价体系,并用线性分配法对诸方案进行了综合评价。 相似文献
72.
袁宇 《辽宁城乡环境科技》2002,22(3):19-21
运用多元回归性,通过预测模型的选择、基础数据系列化、回归模型的建立和回归效果的检验,建立了化学污染危害面积、纵深与诸条件的关系,达到了快速估算的目的,是突出性化学环境污染危害预测的一种方法。 相似文献
73.
Kenneth T. Gillingham Steven J. Smith Ronald D. Sands 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2008,13(7):675-701
In the coming century, modern bioenergy crops have the potential to play a crucial role in the global energy mix, especially
under policies to reduce carbon dioxide emissions as proposed by many in the international community. Previous studies have
not fully addressed many of the dynamic interactions and effects of a policy-induced expansion of bioenergy crop production,
particularly on crop yields and human food demand. This study combines an updated agriculture and land use (AgLU) model with
a well-developed energy-economic model to provide an analysis of the effects of bioenergy crops on energy, agricultural and
land use systems. The results indicate that carbon dioxide mitigation policies can stimulate a large production of bioenergy
crops, dependent on the level of the policy. This production of bioenergy crops can lead to several impacts on the agriculture
and land use system: decreases in forestland and unmanaged land, decreases in the average yield of food crops, increases in
the prices of food crops, and decreases in the level of human demand of calories.
相似文献
Steven J. Smith (Corresponding author)Email: |
74.
Forest growth models are useful tools for investigating the long-term impacts of logging. In this paper, the results of the rain forest growth model FORMIND were assessed by a multicriteria decision analysis. The main processes covered by FORMIND include tree growth, mortality, regeneration and competition. Tree growth is calculated based on a carbon balance approach. Trees compete for light and space; dying large trees fall down and create gaps in the forest. Sixty-four different logging scenarios for an initially undisturbed forest stand at Deramakot (Malaysia) were simulated. The scenarios differ regarding the logging cycle, logging method, cutting limit and logging intensity. We characterise the impacts with four criteria describing the yield, canopy opening and changes in species composition. Multicriteria decision analysis was used for the first time to evaluate the scenarios and identify the efficient ones. Our results plainly show that reduced-impact logging scenarios are more 'efficient' than the others, since in these scenarios forest damage is minimised without significantly reducing yield. Nevertheless, there is a trade-off between yield and achieving a desired ecological state of logged forest; the ecological state of the logged forests can only be improved by reducing yields and enlarging the logging cycles. Our study also demonstrates that high cutting limits or low logging intensities cannot compensate for the high level of damage caused by conventional logging techniques. 相似文献
75.
Hock Hwee Heng Nikolas P. Nikolaidis 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1998,34(2):359-374
ABSTRACT: The Watershed Nutrient Transport and Transformation (NTT-Watershed) model is a physically based, energy-driven, multiple land use, distributed model that is capable of simulating water and nutrient transport in a watershed. The topographic features and subsurface properties of the watershed are refined into uniform, homogeneous square grids. The vertical discretization includes vegetation, overland flow, soil water redistribution and groundwater zones. The chemical submodel simulates the nitrogen dynamics in terrestrial and aquatic systems. Three chemical state variables are considered (NO3--, NH4+, and Org-N). The NTT-Watershed model was used to simulate the fate and transport of nitrogen in the Muddy Brook watershed in Connecticut. The model was shown to be capable of capturing the hydrologic and portions of the nitrogen dynamics in the watershed. Watershed planners could use this model in developing strategies of best management practices that could result in maximizing the reductions of nitrogen export from a watershed. 相似文献
76.
贺秀玲 《防灾科技学院学报》2003,5(4):5-9
现代智力扩充了传统智力的内涵。从现代智力出发,提出了学校教育要注意开发学生的 多元智力。改革教育方法。贯彻因材施教,培养学生的创新能力。 相似文献
77.
Land use change is an important topic in the field of global environmental change and sustainable development. Land use change
modeling has attracted substantial attention because it helps researchers understand the mechanisms of land use change and
assists regulatory bodies in formulating relevant policies. Maotiao River Basin is located in the province of Guizhou, China,
which has a developed agricultural industry in the karst mountain areas. This paper selected biophysical and social–economic
factors as independent variables, and constructed a multiple logistic regression of farmland spatial distribution probability
by random sampling. Then, by using GIS technology and integrating the 2000 data, this study predicted the farmland spatial
pattern. When the predicted map was compared with the actual farmland map for 2000, we noted that 71% of the simulation is
in accordance with the 2000 farmland pattern. The result satisfactorily proves the reasonability and applicability of our
model. 相似文献
78.
Georgios D. Gikas Trisevgeni Yiannakopoulou Vassilios A. Tsihrintzis 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》2006,11(3):219-233
SWAT ver. 2000 was used to predict hydrographs, and sediment, nitrate and total phosphorus loadings from a 1349 km2 mountainous/agricultural watershed in Northern Greece. The model was calibrated and verified using continuous meteorological
data from eight stations within the drainage area, and runoff, sediment and nutrient concentrations measured at nine stations
located within the main tributaries of the watershed, for the time period from May 1st, 1998 to January 31st, 2000. Model
validation methodology and resulting input parameters appropriate for Mediterranean drainage basins are presented. Predicted
by the model hydrographs, sedimentographs and pollutographs are plotted against observed values and show good agreement. Model
performance is evaluated using the root mean square error computation and scattergrams of predicted versus observed data.
The validated model is also used to test the effectiveness of three alternative cropping scenarios in reducing nutrient loadings
from the agricultural part of the watershed. The study showed that this model, if properly validated, can be used effectively
in testing management scenarios in Mediterranean drainage basins. 相似文献
79.
Lake V?nern, the largest lake in Sweden, has been seriously contaminated with mercury during the 20th century. In the 1970's and 80's the direct load, mainly from a chlor-alkali industry in the area, of mercury was drastically reduced as a response to new legislation, from three to five tons down to between five and ten kg yr(-1). Large amounts of the disposed pollutant have accumulated in the sediments. The question posed in this work is now, is the effect of the drastic load reduction after more than two decades visible in the sediments? The question is relevant as large areas still are blacklisted for fishing, but also as a follow-up of a major remedy action. The lake also serves as a freshwater reservoir for even Sweden's second largest city. This work synthesises and compares data of mercury in the sediments from three major field programs, in 1974, 1984 and 1998. The interest is focused on both spatial heterogeneity and temporal trends. In 1974, the surface concentrations are significantly higher than in subsequent surveys. Significant differences are also found between 1984 and 1998. Significant spatial differences within the lake are found for respective year. The most contaminated area is located in the north, close to the major point source (a former chlor-alkali industry). This is also the area with the largest improvement, as a direct response to the reduction in load. Further from the outlet, the recovery is more affected by burial and transport processes out into the deeper basins. 相似文献
80.
一种赤腹松鼠种群数量的估计方法 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
赤腹松鼠剥食树皮的行为对林木危害严重,根据野外长期的观察和研究发现,赤腹松鼠在剥落树皮上遗留下来的上门齿齿印间距具有个体差异,可以用作个体识别的依据.对2003年监测样地内赤腹松鼠在剥落树皮上的齿印间距测量记录,并统计分析以估计赤腹松鼠的个体数量.结果表明:种群数量与危害率的相关系数为0.876,P=0.01,表现出很强的正相关关系;显示在较小面积内,该方法可以用来估计赤腹松鼠的个体数量.同时对该方法的基本条件和局限进行了讨论.图2表4参10 相似文献